While more MLM critical voices would seemingly be a good thing, and most of the critics make some good points, the worst problem is the critics refuse to work together and hammer out differences in views. The most significant issues include:
1. The “unending chain” theory, which is not only fatally flawed, it has been shot down in a court of law, and is therefore a precedent, and
2. Their ignoring of the significance of the ATS,
3. The lack of understanding the 70% inventory rule, and
4. The overreaching on trying to eliminate MLM altogether, rather than enforcing the current rules, which is not only easier to do than eliminating MLM, but would result in almost the same outcome, most MLMs couldn’t/wouldn’t exist.
The problems with the above flaws are the other critics won’t fix the problems, and they will keep losing, or at best, achieve only settlements in court cases. In other words, the other critics are impotent, ineffective, and ignorant – but it’s even worse, they want to stay in that condition.
The people I consider the “major critics” include William (Bill) Keep, Robert (Bob FitzPatrick), Doug Brooks, Bruce Craig, and Peter Vander Nat. The person I have the least conflict with is Bill Keep, he is reasonable and open to learning new concepts, but is a university professor, and claims to be very busy. Bob has a LOT of his ego invested in his approach, as he has written several books, testified as an expert in several lawsuits, written a lot of articles, etc., so it is difficult for him to admit he is wrong. He would have to revise all of those books, articles, and have to defend his change in approach the next time he testifies as an MLM expert, something the opposing attorneys would have a field day with. Doug is in a similar position, but as an attorney, he should have more flexibility to introduce new approaches in a lawsuit without being challenged by the opposing attorney, but seems to be a “follower.” Bruce is a former assistant AG from Wisconsin who appears to be hellbent on getting rid of ALL MLM, a noble but nearly impossible task, as it would take YEARS to get a law passed, if at all, as the MLM lobby is very powerful, being huge political donors. Peter Vander Nat is an FTC employee and long-time court “expert” in MLM, he is also heavily invested in his point of view in a similar manner as Bob.
Note that NONE of the above so-called “experts” have hardly any experience from the inside of an MLM. I have 16 years, 12 of which were devoted to being pro-Amway, 2 years trying to figure out a legal/ethical/moral approach to Amway, and 2 years of staying around to continue access to insider information. Plus, the last 4 years and subsequent 5 years (as of 2014) of researching, analyzing, and “sharpening my saw” on blogs, emails, and telephone calls with a range of MLM related issues. If you want to talk to THE expert regarding MLM, that’s me.
Regarding the first issue above, there was a 1975 court decision where the FTC offered the “unending chain” theory. At the time, I don’t believe California’s unending pyramid law was in effect. However, now that it is, why hasn’t the state outlawed EVERY MLM in the state, as all MLM is based on the unending pyramid concept? While I don’t know the answer to that key question, the 1975 decision can be found here: http://openjurist.org/518/f2d/33/ger-ro-mar-inc-v-federal-trade-commission. While the entire judge decision is instructive, pay particular attention to section IV, and even more particular attention to paragraph 18, which states,
“The sole evidence to support the Commission’s holding that the plan is inherently unfair and deceptive is a mathematical formula,3 which shows that if each participant in the plan recruited only five new recruits each month and each of those in turn recruited five additional recruits in the following month, and this process were allowed to continue, at the end of only 12 months the number of participants would exceed 244 million, including presumably the entire staff of the FTC. The Commission concludes that this, in effect, is the impossible dream and that the siren song of Symbra’Ette must be stilled. We find no flaw in the mathematics or the extrapolation and agree that the prospect of a quarter of a billion brassiere and girdle hawkers is not only impossible but frightening to contemplate, particularly since it is in excess of the present population of the Nation, only about half of whom hopefully are prospective lingerie consumers. However, we live in a real world and not fantasyland.”
We may now may know why the state has not prosecuted all MLMs in California – they are afraid of the MLM bringing up this case and embarrassing themselves in open court! Of course, outside of California, the state law doesn’t apply, and apparently most states don’t have similar “unending chain” laws. Is there any wonder why? QED
Also, consider the fact that if one person started an MLM and sponsored exactly one period over the entire 365 days, and each new person did the same, the number of people involved in the MLM would progress from 1 person in year one, 2 in year 2, 4 in year 3, 8 in year 4, etc., the entire PLANET would be sponsored in just 32 years! The above calculation ignores births/deaths/quitters, but the math illustrates how absurd this theory is when one considers Amway has been around since 1959 (55 years as of 2014) and has a mere 3 million out of 7 BILLION humanoids. THEN consider the other hundreds of MLMs out there, and the thousands that have come and gone over the years. It is simply a preposterous math theory that does not hold up in, as the good judge stated, in a real world, but only in fantasyland.
This fantasyland also presents itself in the “secular/layperson,” (non-MLM) world, as folks who view the saturation model as being proof no illegal pyramid exists for a particular MLM. For example, the Herbalife saga has brought out this comment, from a pro-Herbalife person, herbs4mike: http://www.valuewalk.com/2014/08/tilson-16-2014-still-bearish-herbalife-ltd-hlf/, which states, in part, “Lastly, never think there is a saturation with what Herbalife does. In any given moment 750,000,000 people worldwide will be in their 30’s. 10 years from now a completely new set of people that was in their 20’s will be in their 30’s. That’s 750,000,000 new potential customers, and half will be fat according to statistics (all Herbalife potential customers). And this will continue forever……”
Another example can be found here: http://www.gurufocus.com/news/271702/that-herbalife-miss, which states, in part, “They [short sellers, particularly Bill Ackman] want government intervention to shut the company down – but if it is a pyramid as such it will collapse on its own. New victims can’t be found forever. In other words the shorts would like government intervention but they are not dependent on it.” Of course, the last sentence is incorrect, as Bill Ackman has said since December 2012, when he made his first Herbalife short statements, that he needs government regulator involvement to shut down Herbalife.
And another example: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2014/08/08/one-way-herbalife-could-show-its-not-scamming-customers/, which claims, “They [new Herbalife members/distributors] might find some people who are willing to sign up to receive discounts on products, and others who also want to try their hand at earning commissions, but the chain of recruitment can’t continue indefinitely.” As described above, this simply isn’t true. While many MLM scams expand into other countries to grow larger, this doesn’t mean the established companies go to zero volume.
And yet another: http://www.bidnessetc.com/24321-why-herbalife-is-not-a-pyramid-scheme/1/,
A pyramid scheme (referred to as one because of the structure it forms) is an unsustainable multi-level marketing (MLM) business model. It relies on earning money by recruiting more people into the program rather than by the actual sale of goods or services to customers. Its unsustainability stems from the fact that there are only so many people a company can recruit until it runs out of the target population to recruit from.
However this is not to say that all MLM programs are pyramid schemes.
MLM involves recruiting others in order to sell products or services that have inherent value, that way a person who is a part of the MLM program can earn by selling the product itself rather than recruiting more people. Although the person can recruit more people if he wishes to earn more, but the primary source of income is the product or service the company offers. In case of a pyramid scheme, products lack independent value and the sales people resort to recruiting more people in order to earn.
Why Herbalife Isn’t One [an illegal pyramid scheme]
Herbalife has been in the business of selling nutrition products since 1980. The company has been able to maintain its standing in the industry and continues to survive, which would not be the case if it were a pyramid scheme.”
There is some limited hope, see towards the bottom of page 7 here: http://pyramidschemealert.org/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/Open-Letter-to-FTC.pdf?utm_source=August+2014+Update&utm_campaign=Newest+Revelations+on+MLM&utm_medium=email, which says, in part, “Finally, the claim of unsustainability leading to ultimate collapse, which the FTC made in its 1975 case brought against Amway must also be reconsidered after 35 years experience. In 1979, the court ignored cumulative growth and considered only the potential for “total collapse”, which appeared implausible, thereby refuting the FTC’s projections. In 2000, I recalculated Amway’s recruiting totals, using Amway’s data. Data showed that approximately 6 million people had by then signed contracts as Amway salespeople in the USA alone, or about 1 out of every 33 members of the present adult population at that time. Today the number would far larger. 10 Virtually all had quit, after suffering financial losses.
As long as today’s endless chain schemes can successfully replace the inevitable losers, euphemistically called “dropouts” though they are doomed from the start, the scheme can endure for many years, leaving a massive trail of consumer losses in its wake. The ability to jump to international markets also salvages the domestic MLM, which should be properly termed in a state of “continuous collapse,” and can create the false impression to new recruits of domestic sustainability. Saturation of the market for new recruits to be able to build downlines is the dooming scenario for new recruits, not imminent collapse. For the losing consumer, however, the result is the same as if the scheme had collapsed like a Ponzi would – loss of money, time and other opportunity costs.
10 In the mid-70’s Amway claimed just over 300,000 distributors in the USA. In the court case brought by the FTC, Amway presented five-year historical net growth figures of its distributor sales force that averaged about 4% annually after factoring in the drop-out rate. This modest expansion of its sales force was accepted by the judge as convincing evidence that there was little chance that the sales plan would collapse due to lack of recruits, as the FTC claimed it eventually would. Calculating the 50% attrition rate that Amway attested to, I calculated the continued average 4% net growth annually through year 2000, which matched Amway’s reported 2000 distributor total in the USA. The data on the cumulative enrollment of Amway salespeople, showing recruitment levels far beyond what the market could support for viable sales, is included in the booklet, “The Case for Reopening the Amway Pyramid Scheme Case.” See http://www.pyramidschemealert.org/PSAMain/resources/case.html”
By the way, Amway testified under oath in court when they sued me the 2009 USA IBO level is STILL 300,000!
Repeated attempts to email and discuss this flawed “unending chain” theory by the so-called above “experts” has fallen on deaf ears.
6/22/2015 – I tried reading the below letter a while back and got frustrated with it, as it is full of flaws, fallacies, and errors. However, after coming across it again, I recognized it fits in well in this section and needs to be exposed for what it is, and the flaws, fallacies, and errors pointed out. Note that it is copyrighted, but the copyright laws allow copying material that is used in an analysis/critical response. The opinions I agree with are in green font, the parts I disagree with are in red font, the statements of fact are left in black font, and my explanations are contained in the [blue/bold/bracketed] portions. The source of the letter can be found here, which happens to be another MLM critic with some accurate, and many inaccurate, thoughts about MLM: http://mlmtheamericandreammadenightmare.blogspot.com/2014/07/robert-fitzpatricks-open-letter-to-ftc.html
Friday, 18 July 2014
Robert FitzPatrick’s Open-Letter to the FTC.
Open Letter to the Members of the US Federal Trade Commission
US Federal Trade Commission
- Edith Ramirez, Chair
- Julie Brill, Commissioner
- Maureen K. Ohlhausen, Commissioner
- Joshua D. Wright, Commissioner
- Terrell McSweeny, Commissioner
- Jessica Rich, Director, Bureau of Consumer Protection
- Katherine Fallow, Deputy Director
- Daniel Kaufman, Deputy Director
- Lois Greisman, Assoc. Dir. , Division of Marketing
- Monica Vaca, Asst. Dir., Division of Marketing
- James Kohm, Assoc. Dir., Division of Enforcement
- Mary Engle, Assoc. Dir., Division of Advertising Practices
- Carolyn Shanoff, Assoc. Dir., Div. of Consumer & Bus. Education
- Reilly Dolan, Assoc. Dir., Division of Financial Practices
- Rob Kaye, Chief Litigation Counsel
- David C. Shonka Acting General Counsel
- John F. Daly Dep. Gen. Counsel for Litigation
- Burke W. Kappler Attorney
- Dr. Peter Vandernat, Sr. Economist
Dear FTC Commissioners and Officials,
Thank you for the opportunity to express my views on the critical question now facing the FTC – determining a consistent, understandable legal standard of law enforcement for multi-level marketing (MLM). This letter directly responds to a request from the office of the Director of Consumer Protection to offer ideas and recommendations on the subject of “bright lines” of illegality.
Background notes, supporting data and recommendations are in the following pages presented as an “open letter.” This letter follows up the one-thousand petitions and formal request sent to the FTC in October, 2013 by the International Coalition of Consumer Advocates signed by attorneys, authors, academics, former regulators, and consumer activists from Europe, Asia and North America to investigate and regulate multi-level marketing,now the most common form of work-at-home business and financial solicitations in America. [I signed this petition, with the thinking I could influence the site owners, FitzPatrick, Doug Brooks, and Bruce Craig, mentioned below, into modifying their positions. This has unfortunately proven to be unsuccessful, after various emails and telephone discussions. Therefore, do not assume my participation in the petition to be agreement with it. In fact, at one time there were numerous comments where I was campaigning for changes described elsewhere on this website, including the below analysis, which have since been taken down.]
It is an understatement to say this task is overdue. Virtually every household in America is affected. [Most households have never been approached by somebody promoting an MLM and/or have never heard of MLM. If this were true, MLM would already be saturated and would collapse, according to FitzPatrick’s own erroneous theories.] The aggressive political influence-buying these companies now engage in to thwart law enforcement, the confusion they have sown around what constitutes a “pyramid scheme” – making the public more vulnerable to swindles –and the controversy that now engulfs Wall Street about the legality of various MLM companies have made the FTC’s task urgent and unavoidable.
It is my view, reflecting those of many others who have studied, written about, litigated and directly experienced the realities of “MLM”, that identifying “bright lines” of unfairness and deception under Section 5 of the FTC Act requires not so much a government inquiry as it does regulatory recognition and will. [Although I agree with the basic premise, since I do not agree with the overall theories, I must disagree with this statement, as further elaborated upon below.]
The electrifying and cruelly misleading “endless chain” income proposition, outrageously false income testimonials, dangerously false medical and diet claims, 99% loss rates among participants and marketing and compensation plans blatantly and existentially based upon continuous recruiting of new participants whose investments are transferred to earlier ones – these are the glaring bright lines that my letter describes and documents. [This is over the top rhetoric, typical of FitzPatrick, Brear, and their ilk. They do more damage than help the fight against MLM illegal pyramids and RICO frauds. The raw facts backed up with accurate analysis are more than adequate while remaining heart-wrenching. They are everywhere one looks in the MLM marketplace. Fraud is in plain sight.I believe it is fair to say that my own hope that the FTC will face the challenge to halt and prevent endless chain frauds disguised as “multi-level marketing” mirrors the aspirations of millions of other people. The whole world is watching.
Robert L. FitzPatrick
This memo is a personal follow-up to an hour-long conference call on June 9, 2014 that I participated in with Ms. Jessica Rich, Director of the FTC’s Consumer Protection Bureau and several of her associates. During this call, I and two of my colleagues, Attorney Douglas Brooks and former Asst. Attorney General of Wisconsin (Retired), Bruce Craig, presented economic data, legal citations, interpretations and references to federal court decisions relevant to pyramid selling schemes, aka multi-level marketing, (MLM). We discussed factors of legality, economic significance and the impact of the proliferation of endless chain schemes on individual lives and American society.
Additionally, I had submitted a five-page memo prior to the call, entitled, “The Economic Case for a New FTC Policy of Law Enforcement on Pyramid Selling Schemes Promoted as Business Opportunities.” The memo contained documentation and data on the reality of consumer losses among the millions of consumers who have invested in the ubiquitous MLM “business opportunities” and on the absence of what is conventionally understood as market based retail selling among major MLM companies. The memo concluded that MLM could not be characterized as “direct selling” or as a “business opportunity”, given the absence of true retail selling and the near universal lack of income among consumer investors, euphemistically called “distributors”.
The report showed how the MLM “industry” has falsely represented that “millions” of Americans gain full or part-time profitable income from MLM businesses, even spreading the false claim of a “median average income” for 15 million participants of $2,400. The actual data show a median income of zero or a substantial negative figure. Limiting the data only to the upper 37% of participants, who are unquestionably classified as seeking income, the median income is still zero. My memo included 2012 hard data on three of the largest MLMs, Amway, Nu Skin and Herbalife, accounting aggregately for 10% of the entire field in America, or 1.431 million Americans who purchased goods and paid fees totaling $2.259 billion under MLM contract terms, including the granting of the right to recruit others and benefit from the endless chain pay formulas.Out of this 1.431 million Americans under contract, the data show only 5,500 gaining what might be considered a livelihood income of $60,000 or more per year, before all expenses and product purchases are subtracted. This group, accounting for about 1 out of every 250 in a one-year timeframe (far less when a longer time frame is applied), received the equivalent of 32% of the three companies’ entire USA revenues each year. The payments are based only upon the purchases – not sales – of the other 99.6%. Fifty-four percent (54%) of all reward payments were transferred to this group situated at the peak of sales chains.
In summary, while MLMs attract as many as 15 million consumers to sign the hallmark contracts
offering the endless chain income plan, more than 99% never earn any net income annually. The income of the top 0.39% is not gained by “direct selling.” Indeed, few at the top or at any other level engage in what would be conventionally considered profitable direct selling. The high incomes are gained through a complex formula of money transfers tied to recruiting other recruiters.
Note: The data and analysis we presented to the FTC applied to the great majority of MLM
companies that employ the one-to-one recruiting plans, rather than the smaller segment of party-plan businesses such as Tupperware.
Beyond documenting the negative economic realities of MLM on American household income or employment, most of our June 9 FTC conference call addressed the unchallenged reality of the current position of the FTC concerning these schemes in which the FTC lacks a consistent or understandable standard for determining illegality, rendering effective FTC prosecution and law enforcement in this sector essentially impossible and, indeed, virtually non-existent. The successful but extremely rare FTC prosecutions of a handful of MLM companies over the last few decades, out of the hundreds in current operation, document the reality of fraud within the ranks of these types of enterprises. These prosecutions are a great public service for which the FTC and its staff deserve gratitude and commendations. Yet, the lack of any meaningful criteria for determining illegality of this type of business makes the prosecutions arbitrary and, from a broader consumer protection perspective, largely pointless. Since virtually all MLMs appear to replicatethose that were prosecuted yet are untouched by FTC regulation or law enforcement, to many people the prosecutions indicate widespread, possibly universal, fraudulence, which the FTC appears to be ignoring. To others, the few prosecutions are cited to claim that all the other MLMs are, de jure, legitimized.
We argued that this situation, by any standard, is intolerable. The most important fact we presented was that the current position of the FTC relative to multilevel marketing leaves millions of people in America and around the world without any means of distinguishing legitimate direct selling opportunities from pyramid swindles. This financially dangerous situation is exacerbated by the expansion and multiplication of these enterprises and theiraggressive financial solicitations, which now affect virtually every household in America. Individual household losses may range from a few hundred dollars to tens of thousands and are commonly accompanied by family disruptions, loss of credit, and derailment from other meaningful employment or educational pursuits. In recent years, these schemes have begun targeting the most vulnerable sectors of the public, students and immigrants.
It was also noted that the FTC’s untenable position for consumer protection and law enforcement toward multi-level marketing has now generated a dangerous uncertainty in the securities markets, putting pension funds at risk that are invested in MLM enterprises that are being openly challenged for operating illegally. Our conference call presentations were respectfully received. The main response consisted of one pointed question posed to us to present our own views on “bright lines” for distinguishing illegal marketing practices among multi-level marketing companies.
In this memo, I offer my own personal response to that question. Though the views contained in
this memo are my own, I present them in the format of an open letter due to their public interest
importance and because they are based upon and reflect the research and efforts of many other people who have courageously served as whistle-blowers and public interest advocates.
I am co-author of a book on multi-level marketing, researcher of MLM compensation plans and
marketing practices, business model analyst, expert witness, consultant, and consumer educator. Like others in this field, I have endured hate mail, threats and lawsuits from MLMs and their promoters for publishing information relevant to prosecution and enforcement. I am grateful for the personal and direct invitation from the FTC to offer my views. I do not represent any other party in preparing and submitting this memo and have received no compensation from anyone in connection with it. I personally have no financial interest in any
company or type of company that is referenced.
The FTC’s Dilemma
As Jessica Rich publicly stated, “The Commission is first and foremost a law enforcement agency.”
Yet, in the area of network marketing schemes, which aggressively solicit and persuade at least 15 million households each year to sign long and complicated commercial contracts and gain $30 billion from the public under those contract terms, the FTC acknowledges that law enforcement is severely inhibited. The difficulty is related to the lack of a legal demarcation between multi-level marketing, which is generally described by the FTC as legitimate, and pyramid schemes which are officially treated by the FTC as inherently unfair and deceptive under Section 5 of the FTC Act.
The lack of this demarcation was even cited by the FTC staff to support a recommendation that
no disclosure rules be applied to multi-level marketing companies, because they could not be usefulto consumers in distinguishing fraud from fairness in MLM. The FTC staff wrote to the Commission, “There is no bright line disclosure that would help consumers identify a fraudulent pyramid from a legitimate MLM.” MLMs, by far the largest of all “business opportunity” purveyors, were then exempted from the new FTC rules requiring greater disclosures in business opportunity solicitations.
Based on a reading of the FTC’s original proposal for the business opportunity rule, the basis for, ultimately, exempting MLM was a non sequitur. The “Biz Op” disclosure rule was intended only to provide information to prospective distributors about the “business opportunity.” It was never intended to enable consumers to distinguish pyramid schemes. In fact, there were many provisions of the rule that would be extremely useful to consumers for due diligence purposes when faced with MLM’s ubiquitous financial solicitations.
Thus, the FTC is not only hamstrung from performing its main role of law enforcement, but it
cannot even enact preventive measures to help the individual consumers get enough information about MLM on their own to evade frauds or even to conduct reasonable “due diligence” into the investment opportunity’s true value, whether fraud is involved or not. MLMs are currently not required to make any financial disclosures at all to the millions they solicit for investments.In its other role as a consumer education force, the FTC’s consumer warnings relative to multi-level marketing are similarly constricted and contradictory in light of the near absence enforcement actions. The box to the right is from a 2009 publication by the FTC. It appears to identify several “bright lines” of fraud in MLMs – more product sold internally than externally, and a compensation plan calibrated to reward the recruiters over the retailers. These two practices are pervasive in the MLM field, yet, the paucity of FTC prosecutions of these practices seeminglycontradicts the content of the warning.
The Business Whose Name Dare Not Be Said
In reference to the FTC challenge for regulating MLM, the term, “bright line,” may be conceptually inadequate. It infers a fundamentally legal business that crosses a line and, which, if it had stayed on one side, would continue to function legally; but stepping over this line, it suddenly becomes existentially “illegal.” In the case of multi-level marketing, a bright line is conceived of as a single factor that renders the entire operation illegal, worthy of an injunction to halt its operations entirely. The bright line, is therefore, a fundamental factor that identifies the business as a fraud. To properly characterize a bright line for multi-level marketing, in which the factor is fundamental, it must be acknowledged that no line would have been “crossed”, but rather the business would be founded upon a marketing practice that is inherently illegal. The illegal MLM is a not a business engaging in fraud but a fraud engaging in business.The often-stated FTC position that determining an MLM’s illegality is intensively fact-based flies in the face of 30 years of observable and experienced reality.
Even a cursory review of MLMs reveals that hundreds of them are virtually identical, all such similar companies showing an existential requirement to relentlessly recruit, with pay plans obviously designed to motivate and reward recruiting, flaunting the “infinity” factor as a means to gain income, and producing the inevitable 99% loss rates. The “fact-based” perspective infers the opposite of these realities, that each MLM is unique, that the factors of illegality are hidden and difficult to uncover and that the ones the FTC has prosecuted are anomalous. The reality of MLM is so glaring and its use of the endless chain to gain sales and investments is so obvious that, if there is any prospect for the FTC to identify bright lines of illegality, it will require acknowledging what is staring everyone in the face. The defining characteristic of MLM is the promise of “unlimited income potential” to each new recruit. An infinite font of income is said to be possible from an obviously finite base of money, the recruits’ own purchases and that of any customers they might have, if any.
Consumer activist and educator, David Brear has aptly termed this proposition a “closed market swindle.” That a tiny few at the peak of the expanding chain could indeed gain large amounts of money from the transfer plan is certainly true, though even those few are not able to gain “unlimited” income. But in MLM the “unlimited potential” promise is extended to all who join, forever. Such a fundamental premise of a business proposition can only be called deceptive from the start. It is instantly revealed as a false claim. Hundreds of multi-level marketing companies openly highlight, publicly celebrate and obviously base their entire operations on the deceptive illusion of the endless chain income proposition. Surely FTC staff have attended MLM recruitment meetings and observed this plain truth. How else could a company offer ordinary cosmetics, vitamins, soap or protein shakes as a product for consumers to sell one-to-one to other consumers from their homes, without any marketing or advertising support and claim that the income opportunity is a means to achieve “total wealth”? The past position of the FTC that MLM investigations are nearly beyond the scope of the agency’s capacity or that the illegality is so hidden, even disclosures will not help a consumer, are only evidence of the failure to establish a legal standard, not of MLM reality.
The Limits of the Endless Chain
As a non-attorney, I will not attempt to present chapter and verse of the federal court rulings that
treat the endless chain income proposition as a sufficient bright line indicator of fraud when it is
used to solicit investments or purchases from consumers.The Commission’s own notation in the Koscot case about the endless chain’s “intolerable capacity to mislead” addresses the inherentfraudulence of the endless chain proposition. It does not require complex economic analysis to conclude that the endless chain is unsustainable as a marketing plan and, as the FTC’s Dr. Peter Vandernat has repeatedly explained in his declarations, the model, by its design, requires that the vast majority of all participants must always be in unprofitable positions at the bottom of the chain. Thus, regulators have no need to await “ultimate collapse” before recognizing the ongoing and growing harm once an endless chain is set in motion. The loss rate is mathematically predetermined, inevitable and unchangeable. The endless chain proposition, by its very nature, makes a deceptive promise – one that it cannot keep. Additionally, there is ample evidence of how the endless chain’s “intolerable capacity to mislead” produces mass manias, altered personalities and extraordinary social disruption with its utopian – and utterly false – promise of “unlimited income” potential for all. When attached to a purchase and sales scheme, the endless chain, as FTC and other state prosecutions have repeatedly shown, can rapidly enroll hundreds of thousands of hopeful and misguided consumers to pay fees and purchase goods they would normally not have acquired and at prices beyond market standards – and generate millions in ill-gotten revenue for the perpetrators. Yet, the FTC, based on its enforcement record and its citation of the 1979 Amway ruling, does not currently treat the existence of an endless chain income proposition as a sufficient “bright line”,by itself, to initiate a prosecution.
The 1979 Amway ruling appears to be the FTC’s main reason for not citing the existence of an
endless chain proposition in MLM enterprises and the repeated manifestations of massive consumer losses among people who enroll in them as a sufficient bright line indicator of unfairness and deception. The Amway ruling complicated enforcement since it did not accept the 1975 FTC claim that Amway’s endless chain model was inherently deceptive and unsustainable, a fraud per se.
Current business practices of MLM companies, however, render that court ruling irrelevant in practice. MLM, including Amway, today operates far differently from the way Amway did in the pre-computer 1970s. The market transactions that characterized MLM practices then and which were examined in the case have changed. Thirty-five years of MLM expansion have altered popular perceptions. Much greater understanding of the place of MLM as a distinct business sector in the overall market exists today, in contrast to 1975-9, when the judge characterized Amway as an upstart competitor of the oligopolistic Procter & Gamble. Few today would characterize Amway’s $11 billion, 100 country-reach that way. Most important, the FTC faces an entirely new defense by the MLM industry that is not based on the Amway case but on new interpretations of facts. Additionally, there has been a succession of new court rulings that alter the legal landscape relative to MLM. Clarity and consensus, based on math, law, subsequent court rulings, geometry, and common sense, remain in the conviction that an endless chain incentive plan that induces investments and promises rewards is inherently deceptive and unfair. But, today, the FTC must reveal the reality of endless chain frauds in MLMs that employ today’s disguises and defenses.
The proviso in the 1979 Amway ruling was that Amway’s revenue was to be based on retail sales by the distributors to end-user consumers, making the individual Amway distributorship valuable and viable, without an existential requirement for endless chain recruiting. The pyramid structure and the pyramid-like recruiting was allowed by the court, as Amway swore under oath that it was intended, only as an efficient means of coping with normally high attrition rates in the direct selling field. Existing salespeople could recruit replacements and be compensated for that service to the company, but the endless chain incentive could not be the primary driver for distributor rewards or for company revenue.The ruling allowed the direct selling business to employ an endless chain income “opportunity” in its compensation plan, as Amway does, but prohibited it from actually using its electrifying power to alter behavior for the purpose of generating revenue or incentivizing personal purchases and recruiting activity. The lucrative fruit of profiting from the salespeople’s own investments in fees, product purchases and recruiting efforts as they pursued the mesmerizing “unlimited income” offer.That tempting deception was to be kept just out of reach, through the use of enforced “rules” that ensured the sales program was to be unwaveringly focused on conventional one-to-one retail sales and retail sales profits on Amway’s unremarkable and unadvertised products, offering modest and clearly “finite” income potential for the participants.
Maintaining such a thin wall of legality between a pyramid recruitment fraud that used the “infinite” income potential of the endless chain plan as its driver and a legal direct selling operation that included an endless chain plan, but did not utilize its extraordinary – and deceptive – power would have required close FTC monitoring. At a minimum, retail sales levels would have had to be proven by the company as well as financial data showing how many distributors gained or lost. It would have had to include full disclosure of the sources of income – retail-based or downline purchase-based – to those at the top of the chain and at other levels. The FTC would have had to ensure that the Amway business model, which it had prosecuted for four years as inherently fraudulent, would remain focused on external retail sales. As we all know, no such monitoring occurred.
New Realities and the Irrelevance of the Amway Ruling
Reconciling the Amway court decision with today’s MLM realities is, in my view, largely irrelevant and unnecessary. Similarly, application of the famous Amway “rules” of 70% reselling of inventory and maintenance of 10 customers, has become obsolete and has proven to be impossible on an industry-wide basis. Due to the enormous size and political power of MLM today and the fact that business practices on which the Amway decision was based have changed, the FTC faces a new kind of challenge and a new opportunity in its law enforcement role.
Today, few MLMs sell goods to consumers who then personally resell them to others, whether inside the channel or traditional retail customer, out of their own inventory. Today, it is more common for MLMs to drop ship the goods directly to the purchasers and credit the entire chain of recruiters with the rewards. Additionally, retail profit margins have been largely eliminated. No evidence exists of any significant retail selling in most MLMs, however, some MLMs do promote a status of “preferred customers” who are not part of the channel, yet pay the same discounted price as the distributors do. Purchases made by the “preferred customers” offer no retail profit to distributors but can modestly add to the distributors’ total “group volume” which is primarily a recruitmentdriven incentive.
“Front loading”, which for many years was seen as the main evidence of a pyramid scheme and on which the Amway decision was fixated, is also largely an obsolete notion. Today, MLMs rely on monthly purchase quotas and/or “structure” requirements or a combination of the two, driven by the utopian income dream to induce ongoing purchases and payments. To achieve the dream the participant needs to maintain a quota of volume or to have, for example, “two legs” of other recruiters “active.” The monthly personal volume is usually claimed to be a personally “consumable” or “personally usable” amount, not a base of inventory to resell.
Average annual purchases induced by MLM schemes are usually under $2-3,000 a year, if they stay in the scheme that long, which only a small minority ever do, though some may buy much more and spend far more in related costs, reaching into the tens of thousands, over time. The current practices of Nu Skin and Herbalife, for example, to offer instant high level status and significantly higher rewards based on a single, large, up-front, personal purchase of product is actually unusual today. Today, MLMs find ways other than up-front inventory loading to get more money from participants, including training, certification, “back office”, website maintenance, sales of “leads,”“motivation” seminar registrations, renewal fees, etc. All of these are variations on how to manipulate the endless chain offer or on the various disguises to conceal its operation and inevitable outcome.
Many of the MLMs are based on the claim of no one selling anything to anyone, just “buying from your own store and finding others to do the same.” Some sell no tangible product, but rather services offered by other companies, such as the utility and energy MLM schemes do. Others require several personal “customers”, for example, to reach the income chain options for income, but the customers can be retail clients or other salespeople. The “customer” quota does not produce retail profitability for distributors but does subvert an aggregate economic analysis of total revenue coming from inside or outside the chain as a basis for determining a “pyramid scheme.” The requirement of a small number of retail customers merely serves to add disguise and to increase the pay-to-play investment of each new participant. In sum, applying Amway “rules” to the modern MLM is impractical in many cases.
Finally, the claim of unsustainability leading to ultimate collapse, which the FTC made in its 1975 case brought against Amway must also be reconsidered after 35 years experience. In 1979, the court ignored cumulative growth and considered only the potential for “total collapse”, which appeared implausible, thereby refuting the FTC’s projections. In 2000, I recalculated Amway’s recruiting totals, using Amway’s data. Data showed that approximately 6 million people had by then signed contracts as Amway salespeople in the USA alone, or about 1 out of every 33 members of the present adult population at that time. Today the number would far larger.Virtually all had quit, after suffering financial losses. As long as today’s endless chain schemes can successfully replace the inevitable losers, euphemistically called “dropouts” though they are doomed from the start, the scheme can endure for many years, leaving a massive trail of consumer losses in its wake. The ability to jump to international markets also salvages the domestic MLM, which should be properly termed in a state of “continuous collapse,” and can create the false impression to new recruits of domestic sustainability. Saturation of the market for new recruits to be able to build downlines is the dooming scenario for new recruits, not imminent collapse. For the losing consumer, however, the result is the same as if the scheme had collapsed like a Ponzi would – loss of money, time and other opportunity costs.
The New Legal Defense of MLM
MLMs themselves no longer argue that the endless chain is legal and non-deceptive due to its focus on external retail sales, as Amway did in its famous case. The Amway “legal defense” is a relic from the past. Instead, Amway itself now claims that the endless chain plan is merely a referral system for “customers.” Instead of claiming the distributors are not affected by the “infinite income” incentive due to their personal retail focus as resellers, which is company-enforced by “rules,”Amway and most other MLMs now claim most distributors are unaffected by the infinite income potential because they only want to buy the product as customers and not to earn any money at all. The rules requiring reselling of goods, therefore, are irrelevant. Everyone is claimed to be a customer.
This amazing and perplexing change of explanation essentially argues that internal purchases,
which the FTC and the federal courts (see the FTC brochure referenced earlier and the Omnitrition decision by the federal court) have treated as the bright line of endless chain fraud, are no longer a valid indicator. Indeed, internal sales are now claimed to be the proof of the system’s legitimacy as a sales business, since the purchases by the distributors, it is claimed, indicate ordinary, market-based, rational purchasing behavior that is unrelated to and unaffected by the endless chain pay plan incentives. The MLM legal argument for why MLM people are not affected by the “endless chain” when they make purchases or pay fees in MLMs has changed from their true activity, previously said to be retail sales, to their true motives, now said to be their love of the MLM product. In both defenses, it is claimed that the endless chain with its illusory promise of rewards is not an incentivizing factor leading to investments and recruitment activity.
The tactical legal and economic defense strategy, in turn, has shifted from the old maneuvers of
withholding retail sales data and distributor loss rates to challenging regulators to prove that the
inner motives of participants are related to the illusory income proposition. This would be a taseven more daunting that overseeing retail sales levels, perhaps requiring an army of psychologists!
Observers are told not to believe what they see with their own eyes – that an endless chain
proposition is the heart and soul of the enterprise and drives consumer responses.
Additionally, whereas MLM previously obscured the extraordinary fact that 99% or more of all
distributors never gained a profit, today those very same figures are touted as evidence that virtuallyall distributors have no interest at all in the endless chain plan’s rewards. The evidence for this claim is that few actually gained any income! Consumer losses are no longer hidden; they areredefined out of existence on the claim that millions joined with absolutely no interest in making any money in the first place, despite the MLM’s promotional images of luxury cars, exotic vacations, testimonials about high incomes, “freedom” and fulfillment, all gained from the MLM income opportunity.
The new legal defense makes the audacious claim that as many as 75% or more of all people
who join some MLMs never intended to pursue the “business opportunity” but were only interested in obtaining the products for personal use and therefore cannot be considered business opportunity victims. Proof that they were not pursuing the business is that they never successfully recruited other participants! The “unsustainable” or saturation arguments are not refuted but averted by this remarkable ploy.
As incredible as it might seem to some analysts, this MLM claim that all purchases by contract
salespeople are purely product-based, not income-driven or influenced by the endless chain offer is bolstered by the stark fact that the MLMs that produce the largest consumer losses have never been prosecuted. The new rationalization of loss rates, the sheer size and persistence of MLMs, and the lack of any significant regulatory actions for 35 years are powerfully affecting popular perceptions. It is becoming almost unthinkable, even for judges, that such large and longstanding enterprises could be illegal rackets.
The factor of “plausible deniability” for MLM participants is also enhanced in the environment
of MLM rationalizations and general immunity from regulators. All pyramid participants need a
rationalization. The naked facts of seeking income from commercializing friends and neighbors into “warm list” prospects and the pursuit of a get-rich scheme based on exponential recruiting must be ameliorated by less selfish and more uplifting narratives. The specter of illegality and the term “pyramid scheme” must also be firmly banished in order for the participants to actively promote the plan to close associates. It must be acknowledged that today’s MLM environment is characterized by greater public confusion, more entrenched denial and even greater reluctance to come forward with fraud accusations than ever before.
Such is the whirlwind that the FTC is reaping for allowing pyramid schemes to imbed
themselves into the legitimate marketplace in the thin disguise of “direct selling.”
The New Realities
To summarize the new conditions faced by the FTC:
- With millions of consumers placed in vulnerable positions as targets of ubiquitous financial solicitations from MLM promoters and billions in market securities placed at risk due to the lack of a legal standard for MLM, the FTC must finally establish a set of conditions which, if present, identify a fraudulent MLM operation. These conditions must be generally understandable for consumers as well as standing on sound legal and economic ground. The current position, lacking a legal standard, is untenable and violates the mandate of the FTC as a law enforcement agency, negates its roles in consumer protection and public education, and damages the FTC’s credibility.
- The reliance on the Amway decision that tied rewards to undisclosed or unrecorded retail sales and on which the FTC used a complex “economic” rather than a primarily legal argument to identify MLM frauds is largely unusable under current conditions. It also is unusable for public understanding and education. As experience has shown, it also severely limits the FTC’s enforcement abilities since it was based on a long and costly one-off, fact-based system, of prosecutions seemingly unrelated to all other MLMs and lacking a clear legal foundation.
- The MLM industry which previously claimed that MLM purchases were primarily for resale has now sought to make the very act of purchasing an MLM product or service by an MLM participant prima facie evidence of legitimacy, that is, the very act of the participants’ making product purchases exempts the enterprise from any definition of pyramid fraud. Buying a product is treated as exculpatory for the enterprise, regardless of all other factors of pyramid structure and recruiting inducements, rewards to recruiters, payment formulas or financial loss and dropout rates among participants.
- Recent court decisions, such as Burnlounge, which have shifted the defining issues away from hidden, indefinable or incalculable factors such as retail sales versus internal sales levels and toward the fundamental purpose of the reward plan – in practice. Rather than an economic formula requiring extensive data collection, the FTC could identify a set of characteristics, which, in combination, define an endless chain/recruitment-driven business opportunity schemethat is inherently unfair and deceptive, based on its defining elements.
- The latest court rulings appear to offer the FTC greater capacity to focus on the obvious pyramidstructural requirements and the transparent recruiting-based pay formulas of a MLM along with the verifiable aggregate expenditures and rewards gained by participants, indicating nearly total losses among the “last ones in” to serve as a set of guidelines for legality.
- The endless chain income lure and the practice of a recruiting-based marketing program remainthe fundamental elements of fraud to be identified and exposed in MLM frauds. The courts have upheld the inherent fraudulence of an endless chain reward plan. It must be the centerpiece of the establishment of bright lines. It is the fraud in plain sight.
In response to the specific question posed to me and my colleagues during the June 9 conference call, I offer the following approach to bright line factors:
- The first principle of a bright line for legality in multi-level marketing is that the endless chain is an unfair and deceptive marketing practice. The bright line, therefore, consists of uncovering evidence of the actual use of the endless chain proposition to gain revenue from MLM participants. This is the primary indicator of deceptive marketing. Gaining purchases or investments from consumers on the basis of an endless chain reward proposition – offering rewards based on recruiting others who are similarly offered rewards to recruit others; basing the potential rewards on infinite, exponential expansion; providing escalating rewards based on recruiting scales; providing no physical, mathematical or geographical limits related to actual market demands and potential – is deemed an unfair and deceptive trade practice.
- The establishment of a bright line requires that the FTC take a strong and clearly stated legalstand against the unsupportable and preposterous claims of MLM that purchasing products by the participants automatically exempts the enterprise from a pyramid definition (in the same way that gifting clubs adherents claimed that the money transfers self-defined as “gifts”, made thoseschemes legal). The MLM argument that when products are purchased by MLM participants, the law against endless chains does not apply must be directly and unequivocally refuted, based on law.
- FTC establishes and publishes a set of factors that it considers indicative of the use of the endless chain as a marketing device, once it is established that it exists in the business model.
- The evidence of the use of endless chain marketing is found in the MLM’s pay formula and in the statement of policies and procedures, both of which are generally published. Additional information may be found in income disclosure documents, website, webinars and in SEC filings. Among the red flag factors for the actual use of the endless chain proposition are:
1. There is no status of salesperson that is not allowed to recruit other salespeople but can only sell the products to retail customers (virtually all MLMs include the universal recruitment authorization though some offer no rewards from recruiting until some threshold of recruiting or a volume of sales/self-purchasing is reached); the sales chain is designed as an open-ended expansion structure, without limit, and without geographic restriction; and each new participant, upon payment of consideration, is authorized to seek profit from extending it.(existence of endless chain system established).
2. Sales/purchase quotas with specific dollar volumes of product purchases (either by the distributor personally or some group of distributors in his or her downline), or structural requirements based on recruiting specific numbers of other distributors or in some specific configuration, are required to maintain a position on the recruiting chain. (endless chain investment and recruiting inducements)
3. Compensation formula that rewards, overwhelmingly, chain extension activity over personal retail sales activity that is based on market demand. Evidence would include the formula that allocates total commission payout to recruiters in excess of total retail profits that arverifiable, showing the focus and reliance upon the recruiting incentives, and in the actual payout,revealing concentration of payments to those at the upper end of the recruiting chain. (more endless chain and recruiting inducements)
4. The actual activity of the business is characterized by relentless recruiting, churning and transferring funds from later participants to earlier ones.
5. Little evidence, gained from an examination of marketing materials, website, and anecdotal reports from participants or researchers, of market-based retail purchasing or little evidence of retail profit-making among the sales force and no significant actions by the company to ensure the salespeople are retailing or to support retail selling (indicating little market demand, absent the endless chain pay plan incentives, and little direction from the company toward retailing)
6. Evidence of large-scale losses, (indicating the inevitable mathematical consequences of a recruitment-based reward plan).
How could an MLM take corrective measures that would bring it back on the legal side of the “bright line” or prevent an FTC investigation or prosecution? Just as the basis for a legal standard is the use of the endless chain to gain purchases or investments, reforms would be measured by that same standard, showing that consumer purchases or other investments in the business opportunity are not affected by the inherently deceptive “infinity” factor but are market based, indicating public demand, preference and enduring brand loyalty, the conventional measures of market validity.
Some that would repurpose an MLM toward direct selling and away from pyramid recruiting include:
- Limiting the number of levels that any individual salesperson can personally recruit and gain override commissions to one or several. This criteria would satisfy Amway’s earlier claim that the primary purpose of the universal recruiting authorization was to economically offset the normally high attrition rates in direct selling by offering modest compensation to distributors for taking on the recruiting function, rather than the company’s engaging in a costly recruiting program. This measure would eliminate the infinity factor entirely.
- Pay commissions only on consummated retail sales, that is to persons who are not signers of the company’s sales contract and are not eligible for recruiting-based rewards. The corollary is that no commissions are paid on any purchases made by other salespeople or on the salesperson’s own account. This reform eliminates a major incentive for recruiting and for making personal purchases. It eliminates the conflict of interest inherent in profiting from the person the recruiter is supposed to be managing by promoting personal purchases. It would also clearly indicate that all purchases made by the sales force are market-based and not affected by the recruiting program, since no one in the chain would profit from another’s purchases and would have no cause to influence their personal purchases. It would also eliminate the ability of the MLM company to offer instant high status to a new recruit for making a large upfront personal purchase that generates a large commission to the recruiter.
- Eliminate all purchase/sales volume or recruiting requirements in order to maintain sales and recruiting authorization. With no geographic limitations or protections placed on MLM salespeople, and no information available on market saturation factors, these volume and recruiting requirements, which are common in MLM pay plans, are unwarranted and serve only as compelling recruiting inducements. The quotas are also responsible for a critical factor in MLM pay plans, called “breakage,” in which the inevitable failure among participants at lower levels to meet the impossible quotas (due to saturation) results in all their accumulated andaccruing rewards being transferred to recruiters at the higher levels. Along with other pay formulas that offer higher commission rates – per transaction – to those at the higher ranks, the quota/breakage factors serve to sharply concentrate total commission at the top, facilitating the continuous bottom-to-top transfer. As the data from my earlier memo documented, this quota/breakage system is responsible, for example, for Nu Skin’s paying 82% of all its commissions to the top 1.29% of its “active” sales force, which is 0.5% of the entire network. This tiny group at the top of the pyramid gains $103,000 on average in rewards yearly, while the mean average for the bottom 99% of the “active” sector is only $300 per year.
- Establish limited territories for distributors who want to develop sales teams with authorization based upon management selection. The current practice of open-ended, even global territories and escalation on the sales chain being based purely on volume/recruiting performance is a telltale indicator of the “endless chain” inducement.
The FTC’s Challenge
It is not an exaggeration to say that the whole world is watching the FTC regarding its mandate to develop a legal standard for multi-level marketing. Billions of dollars in securities, and billions of dollars of household savings and credit are the financial stakes, but perhaps even greater than the financial resources is the societal impact of endless chain fraud upon communities, families, and entire countries.
It is well understood that the Ponzi scheme is a dangerous form of fraud, capable of destroying entire economies and toppling governments, as occurred in Albania. The pyramid scheme or endless chain-business scheme may be similarly viewed as an insidious financial virus, threatening the foundation of a legitimate market, subverting legitimate entrepreneurship, harming extraordinary numbers of vulnerable people and destroying trust in the American Dream.
The Ponzi scheme relies on concealment of its money transfer, while the pyramid, more dangerously, relies on mass deception and political influence-buying to prevent law enforcement. The Ponzi is based on one big lie, whereas the pyramid must cultivate an intricate web of lies. The Ponzi perpetrator personally assumes the nefarious role of perpetrator and organizer, while the pyramid promoters entangle the victims in a network of legal liabilities and personal deceptions to spread to family and close associates. And whereas the Ponzi enables all its victims to grasp the nature of the fraud once it is revealed and to identify themselves as innocent victims, the pyramid must engage in mind control, cultivate a predatory value system among participants and subject the victims to a debilitating narrative of self-blame, leaving many unaware of how or why they lost their money and destined to repeat the folly.
The Ponzi scheme may mushroom in scale but quickly and totally collapses upon exposure or prosecution. The pyramid scheme, on the other hand, can mobilize its very own victims in cult formations to expand its reach, attack whistle-blowers and protect itself from law enforcement, even when exposed. It can, therefore, be reasonably argued that the pyramid scheme is a far more destructive force in a society than the Ponzi is. It contains elements of cultism, mind-control, authoritarianism, political corruption and social disruption. It is obvious that that law has not kept pace with the development of endless chain rackets disguised as direct selling enterprises. Yet, in recent years, public interest advocates, attorneys, financial managers, academics and thousands of victims have come forward to expose the realities of MLM and to demand that the FTC finally enforce the laws that are available and applicable.
My own expectations mirror the aspirations of millions of other people that the FTC will seize
this moment in history to do the right thing.
Robert FitzPatrick (copyright 2014)